Proponents of domestic and international global warming regulations like to argue that human-induced climate change could affect the safety of not only the U.S. but other countries as well. They suggest that global warming will lead to more natural disasters, which will in turn lead to increased global conflict.
Even the Department of Defense now considers climate change a threat to U.S. security. Exercises from the National Defense University concluded that “over the next 20 to 30 years, vulnerable regions, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and South and Southeast Asia, will face the prospect of food shortages, water crises and catastrophic flooding driven by climate change that could demand an American humanitarian relief or military response.”
But according to a new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences in the United States, that’s not the case. Halvard Buhaug, senior researcher at the Peace Research Institute Oslo’s Centre for the Study of Civil War and author of the study, said:
Climate variability in Africa does not seem to have a significant impact on the risk of civil war. If you apply a number of different definitions of conflict and various different ways to measure climate variability, most of these measurements will turn out not to be associated with each other.
My article points to the fact that there has been too much emphasis on single definitions of conflict and single definitions of climate. Even if you found that conflict, defined in a particular way, appeared to be associated with climate, if you applied a number of complementary measures—which you should do in order to determine the robustness of the apparent connection—then you would find, in almost all cases, the two were actually unrelated.
Worse, climate treaties to cap carbon dioxide emissions would do little to address climate change and a lot to cripple economic competitiveness. These treaties would limit the resources available to effectively prepare and respond to either natural disasters or national security threats. Carbon caps would cause energy prices to soar, and as a result, production would decrease, resources would become scarcer, and innovation and entrepreneurial activity would fall.
These are the sorts of conditions that could actually give rise to actual conflict.
Heritage’s nation security expert James Carafano testified before the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee last year that climate change is not a threat to national security. He stressed that “any changes in the climate, for better or for worse, will occur gradually over decades. Thus, there will be ample time to adjust national security and humanitarian assistance instruments to accommodate future demands. Those adjustments can and should be made with the most appropriate instruments, which might comprise any or all of the elements of national power including diplomatic, economic, political, and informational tools as well as the armed forces.” If the Obama Administration decides to fight this war on climate change and enter into a multilateral treaty to reduce CO2, the U.S. would ultimately lose, coming out of the battle with a weaker economy, weaker security, and weaker personal freedoms.
As Congress returns to Washington next week, the fight over the Obama Tax Hikes has already begun. President Obama has indicated that he plans to allow taxes to rise while also announcing a new “stimulus” that even some in the White House refuse to promise will stimulate the economy.
The Winston Group has created a new video contrasting President Obama’s positions on taxes with that of another president who understood the importance of keeping taxes low: President John F. Kennedy.
As we explained in our own video last month, the Obama tax hikes are exactly the wrong prescription for an ailing economy. Here’s wishing President Obama will take heed of his predecessor’s sound advice.
We noted yesterday that White House aides were already backtracking on President Barack Obama’s promise that his $50 billion infrastructure plan “will not only create jobs immediately, it’s also going to make our economy hum over the long haul.” Specifically a “senior administration official” told Politico: “This is not an … immediate jobs plan.”
Well The Washington Post’s Dana Milbank apparently has been talking to the same “senior administration official.” Here is how he reports the exchange between reporters and the Obama White House:
Q. What is your estimate of how many jobs would be created?
A. We don’t have a jobs estimate for that.
Q. What are you thinking in terms of timing?
A. I don’t want to make a prediction about timing.
Q. So just your best-case scenario . . . when do we start to see jobs created as a result of all this?
A. In 2011.
Q. And are we talking January 2011 or December 2011?
A. Over the course of 2011.
Milbank then adds: “Obama himself must not have been briefed, because he told the crowd in Milwaukee that the plan would ‘create jobs immediately.’”
The President is scheduled to give another speech outlining another economic stimulus today at 2 PM. We’ll let you know if he gets his facts straight.
Heritage analyst Ron Utt has written extensively on the false hope of infrastructure spending job creation:
Infrastructure Bank Proposals Rely on Backdoor Deficit Spending
Learning from Japan: Infrastructure Spending Won’t Boost the Economy
More Transportation Spending: False Promises of Prosperity and Job Creation